The future trend of poverty under uncertain socioeconomic and political conditions ( case study -Palestine ) رسالة ماجستير

Abstract

This study aims to apply the future studies methodology and different scenarios on the political social and economic indicators behavior until 2030. It also points at constructing futurist scenarios and its behavior and checking their range of correspondence with developmental and social goals in Palestine. The importance and justifications of this study has emerged as it discusses the future of political, social and economic indicators (poverty). Poverty is one of the most important indicators that question the economic policies and governmental system. The application of futurist studies is considered one of the newest strategies because the study of poverty future has its own importance in proper planning if all stages so as to evade the poor increase and the afterwards effects. The researcher depends on employing the descriptive and analytic method in analyzing results after data collection through personal interviews, prepared questions and related references. The researcher used many techniquies in the study. The questionnaires are distributed and analyzed to recognize the scenario development range in the future according to experts' answers and questionnaires results. The study place limitation is The State of Palestine and the time limitation is about eight years (until 2030). This study is executed in the second semester (2020-2021) as its human limitations are divided into two groups: experts in government and NGOs. V The study concludes some basic results. One of the most important is: The political factor is the basic key to the social indicators (poverty) and it is followed by economic factors while the administrative and social factors are the least. The most probable scenario is the increase of poverty. The study recommends applying different tips on social institutional and political level: The necessity of governmental economy, support employment and backup taxes increase, direct studies towards technology and information, open Arabic markets for graduates and enact necessary polices and legislations to support the steadfastness of both the citizen and the investor on his land.